Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts – January 2026

Our report, Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts – January 2026, was published on 13 January 2026 setting out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an overview of the Scottish Government’s overall fiscal position.

The summary of our report sets out the forecasts produced and the main assumptions and judgements that underpin them. We have also produced a Quick Visual Guide to help users quickly understand our forecasts.