Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts – January 2026
Our report, Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts – January 2026, was published on 13 January 2026 setting out our five-year forecasts of the Scottish economy, tax receipts, social security expenditure and an overview of the Scottish Government’s overall fiscal position.
The summary of our report sets out the forecasts produced and the main assumptions and judgements that underpin them. We have also produced a Quick Visual Guide to help users quickly understand our forecasts.
Some of these documents were revised in February 2026. A log of changes in the Supporting Documents section provides details of these revisions.
Full Report, revised 11 February 2026
Summary, revised 11 February 2026
Visual Summary Pages, revised 11 February 2026