News & Events

  • Forthcoming Publications – May 2026 

    Following the Scottish Parliament election, this edition of Forthcoming publications provides an overview of the Scottish Fiscal Commission’s planned outputs over the coming months.  Publications: Fiscal Update, Forecast Evaluation Report and Statement of Data Needs  The Fiscal Update, Forecast Evaluation Report and Statement of Data Needs will be published at 9:30 am on 25 August. The Fiscal Update will provide updated analysis of the Scottish Government’s fiscal position as the new administration starts preparations for its first Scottish Budget.…


  • Staying Informed During the Election Period: Our Latest Insight – 25 March 2026 

    This month’s update highlights our latest insight: how the upcoming Scottish Parliamentary election affects what we publish and when. With the preelection period beginning soon, we want to briefly set out how to get in touch with us over the next few weeks and where you can continue to find reliable information while our formal publications pause.  The…


  • Forthcoming Publications – March 2026  

    Tuesday 25 August 9:30 AM: Fiscal Update, Forecast Evaluation Report and Statement of Data Needs   Fiscal Update – This update considers the implications for the new Scottish Government’s fiscal outlook of developments since our January 2026 forecast as the new Parliament returns after the summer recess.    Forecast Evaluation Report – evaluates our December 2024 forecasts for economy, fully devolved taxes, and social security used to…


  • Professor Graeme Roy reappointed as Chair of the Scottish Fiscal Commission – 31 March 2026  

    The Scottish Fiscal Commission is pleased to announce the reappointment of Professor Graeme Roy as its Chair. Professor Roy will serve a second four year term, continuing his leadership of Scotland’s independent fiscal institution. The reappointment is for four years from 1 June 2026 until 31 May 2030.  Professor Roy was first appointed Chair in 2022. During his first term, he has overseen the…


  • 25 February 2026 – Challenging fiscal outlook for the next Scottish Parliament elected in May

    Today the Scottish Fiscal Commission sets out the fiscal pressures facing the next Scottish Parliament to be elected in May. Drawing on its previous work on the Scottish Budget and fiscal sustainability, the Commission has looked ahead to the fiscal context facing the next parliament. The Commission thinks that the fiscal outlook is likely to…


  • 24 February 2026 – SFC estimates cost of changes to Non-Domestic Rates policy

    The Scottish Fiscal Commission (SFC) has today published an updated forecast for Non-Domestic Rates (NDR), ahead of tomorrow’s Stage 3 Budget debate in the Scottish Parliament. The Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Local Government announced two changes to NDR policy on 12 February 2026, during the Stage 1 debate on the Scottish Budget. The first…


  • Forthcoming Publications – 28 January 2026

    Wednesday 25 February – What Scotland’s finances mean for the next Parliament We will publish a new report setting out the key fiscal challenges facing the next Scottish Parliament on at 9.30am Wednesday 25 February. This will bring together the fiscal pressures identified through our forecasts and longer‑term work on fiscal sustainability. Thursday 26 February…


  • Budget and Spending Review underscore tight fiscal outlook as Scottish Government plans efficiencies and reform

    13 January 2026 The Scottish Government’s Budget and Spending Review published today contains its tax and spending plans based on forecasts produced by the Scottish Fiscal Commission (SFC). The Scottish Government’s Medium-Term Financial Strategy published in June 2025 identified significant gaps between spending and funding over the next four years. Since then, there has been…


  • Forthcoming Publications – 6 January 2026

    Tuesday 13 January 2026 – Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts These forecasts are part of the Commission’s main forecast publication series and will provide new economic, tax and social security forecasts to accompany the 2026-27 Scottish Budget and Spending Review. They will be published when the Cabinet Secretary for Finance and Local Government completes her…


  • Fiscal Sustainability Report: Error Correction Notice – 11 December 2025

    Today we have published an Error Correction Notice in relation to this report on our website.