News & Events
News & Events
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Forthcoming Publications – 28 January 2026
Wednesday 25 February – What Scotland’s finances mean for the next Parliament We will publish …
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Budget and Spending Review underscore tight fiscal outlook as Scottish Government plans efficiencies and reform
13 January 2026 The Scottish Government’s Budget and Spending Review published today contains its tax …
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Forthcoming Publications – 6 January 2026
Tuesday 13 January 2026 – Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts These forecasts are part of …
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Fiscal Sustainability Report: Error Correction Notice – 11 December 2025
Today we have published an Error Correction Notice in relation to this report on our website.
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New Commissioners Appointed to Scottish Fiscal Commission – 8 October 2025
Dr Eleanor Ryan and Justine Riccomini have been appointed as new Commissioners at the Scottish Fiscal Commission, Scotland’s official independent economic and fiscal forecaster.
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Climate change presents fiscal challenges for Scottish Government
Climate change and the associated costs of meeting the Scottish Government’s carbon emission targets will …
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Scottish Spending Review crucial to addressing fiscal challenges
In its Fiscal Update published today, the Scottish Fiscal Commission has said that the Scottish …
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Scottish Government well placed to complete challenging spending review
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published an update to its economic and fiscal forecasts …
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REMINDER: Wednesday 25 June 2025 – Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts – MTFS Update June 2025
Our next report accompanies the Scottish Government’s Medium-Term Financial Strategy and Fiscal Sustainability Delivery Plan …
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Interdependence is the key to Scotland’s financial strategy
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in the Herald on 9 June 2025.
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Modest growth in funding since last Scottish Budget, but significant pressures on spending
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published its latest economic and fiscal forecasts. These forecasts …
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Health Challenges Risk Scottish Government’s Fiscal Sustainability – 8 April 2025
We updated this release on 8 April 2025, to correct an error in the annual …
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Forthcoming Publications and Event – April 2025
Tuesday 8 April 2025 at 9.30 am – Fiscal Sustainability ReportOur second report on the …
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OECD Publishes Independent Review of the Scottish Fiscal Commission – 10 March 2025
An independent review of the Scottish Fiscal Commission was published today by the Organisation for …
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Mitigating the two-child limit and the Scottish Budget – 7 January 2025
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published a costing for mitigating the two‑child limit in …
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Scottish Budget Remains Tight Despite Extra Funding Following UK Autumn Budget – 4 December 2024
The Scottish budget depends upon funding from the UK Government and revenue from taxes raised …
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Now is the time to play the long game as high-stakes Budget crunch approaches
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in the Herald on 14 October 2024.
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Commission Estimates Impact of Pension Age Winter Heating Payment Changes
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published an updated forecast for Pension Age Winter Heating …
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Scottish Budget pressures unlikely to be removed by UK Budget decisions
27 August 2024 Last December the Scottish Fiscal Commission stressed the pressures on spending the …
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Fiscal risk from lack of clarity on climate change spending
14 March 2024 The Scottish Fiscal Commission has analysed the implications for the Scottish public …
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Time for frank conversation on cost of climate measures
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in the Herald on 11 March 2024.
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Spending trends in the 2024-25 Scottish Budget
23 January 2024 The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published new analysis of the Scottish …
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The key numbers in Scottish Budget’s income tax choices
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in the Herald on 8 January 2024 about income tax in Scotland and its impact upon the economy and public finances.
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Scottish Budget under pressure despite higher tax revenues
19 December 2023 The Scottish Fiscal Commission today said that the Scottish Government’s budget next …
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Shona Robison now has more pieces of the budget puzzle
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in The Times on 22 November …
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Scots population shifts and the future of public services
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in the Herald on 9 October 2023.
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Significant progress on the economy is still required
Article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in The Herald on 11 September 2023.
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Scottish Fiscal Commission publishes latest Forecast Evaluation Report
An evaluation of our December 2021 economy, devolved taxes and social security forecasts which were used to set the 2022-23 Scottish Budget.
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Despite economic positivity inflation remains too high
Article by our Chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in The Herald on 12 June …
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Economic outlook improves slightly but living standards still falling
The Scottish Fiscal Commission today said that the five-year funding outlook for the Scottish Government …
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Scotland not alone but fiscal sustainability questions cannot be ignored
Article by our Chair Professor Graeme Roy, first published in The Herald on 10 April …
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Fiscal Sustainability Report shows tough decisions for Scottish Government
22 March 2023 The Scottish Fiscal Commission today said that the Scottish Government will face …
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Fiscal pressures not unique to Scotland but plan needed
This article by our chair Professor Graeme Roy was published in The Herald newspaper on …
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Higher Prices Puts Pressure on Households
The Scottish Fiscal Commission today said the purchasing power of household incomes is anticipated to …
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Supply and demand pressures on public funding
Speech to SOLACE Scotland conference (Society of Local Authority Chief Executives – Scotland) Delivered by …
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Updated forecasts for Scottish Child Payment spending
Today the Scottish Fiscal Commission has published updated forecasts of spending on the Scottish Child …
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Short term fiscal boost but longer-term challenges
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published a report looking back at the accuracy of …
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Forthcoming publications – August 2022
30 August 2022, 9.30am – The first papers on fiscal sustainability covering the proposed scope of next year’s …
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Tough spending constraints and greater economic uncertainty
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published its latest forecasts alongside the Scottish Government’s Resource …
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New chair and commissioner for Scottish Fiscal Commission
Professor Graeme Roy has been appointed to be the new chair of the Scottish Fiscal Commission, Scotland’s official independent economic and fiscal forecaster.
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Forthcoming publications and events – May 2022
Publications 31 May 2022 – Scotland’s Economic and Fiscal Forecasts. We’ll publish our next set of five …
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Scottish Budget faces pressures from tax and social security
The Scottish Fiscal Commission says today it expects a strong economic recovery in 2021-22 with …
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Webinar – 7 September 2021 – Video
On 7 September 2021 we held a Webinar in which our Commissioners presented our August 2021 forecasts, and answered your questions about our work.
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Forthcoming events
We hold a small number of events throughout the year. Most are open to anyone …
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Good news on the economy with cautionary note on social security spending
The Scottish Fiscal Commission published its latest official forecasts today setting out how Scotland’s economy …
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Forecast divergences mostly due to COVID-19
The Scottish Fiscal Commission, Scotland’s official forecaster, today published its evaluation of the economic and …
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Commission publishes costing to support Carer’s Allowance Supplement Bill
We have forecast the cost of the Carer’s Allowance Supplement (Scotland) Bill following its introduction …
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Commission invites you to look ‘under the bonnet’ of its forecasts
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published four papers setting out its approach to the …
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Commission’s update shows Scottish Budget increase
An update published by the Scottish Fiscal Commission today shows the 2021-22 Scottish Budget has …
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Commission costs amendments to Non-Domestic Rates and Self Isolation Support Grants
The Scottish Fiscal Commission has today published revised forecasts of Non-Domestic Rates (NDR) and the …
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Webinar – 4 February 2021 – Video
On 4 February 2021 we held a Webinar, in which our Commissioners presented our January 2021 forecasts for the Scottish Budget, and answered your questions about our work. You can find the recording of the presentation and Q&A session here.